Florida elections in 2026

30 electoral votes · 28 House seats · South · 2 statewide races on the 2026 ballot

Simulationas of 27 Sep 2026

Florida US Senate (special): D 44.0 to R 54.0, likely Republican, well sourced. Moody leads in Florida special election after progressive Nixon's primary upset

Florida Governor: D 45.0 to R 53.0, lean Republican, well sourced. Donalds and Jolly Set for High-Stakes General Election Battle to Succeed DeSantis

House delegation as simulated: 8 D, 18 R, 2 tossups of 28 districts swept.

Model readings of live reporting, not polling. The full Florida board, with sourcing and the county map where one exists, is on the Midterms 2026 tab of the homepage.

How Florida votes

Florida's electorate is enormous and layered: retirees, a diverse Latino population with distinct Cuban and Puerto Rican communities, growth-belt suburbs and a conservative north. Insurance costs, hurricanes and growth management now share the stage with its long-running tax debates.

Its largest population centers include Miami, Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville. Where a state's people live, and what those places do for a living, is the starting point for how Electorate HQ simulations reason about it.

On the ballot in Florida

Election day is November 3, 2026. Florida has 2 statewide races and 28 House seats on the ballot.

Statewide races

House districts

Every House seat is elected every two years. Each district below is listed with the counties inside it, computed from the current Census boundary files, wherever those files give a clean answer. Not sure which district is yours? Use the address lookup below.

Find your exact districts

Your address goes to the U.S. Census Bureau's public geocoder to find your districts. It is not stored, and no AI sees it.

Which district am I in? Florida districts by county

House districts follow population, not county lines, so a single county can hold several districts and a single district can span many. Each county is listed under the district that holds its center, so if your county appears once above, that district holds most of it and is probably yours. If it appears under several, or if you live near a district line, use the address lookup for the exact answer.

Before you vote in Florida

Registration deadlines, early voting windows, mail ballot rules and identification requirements are all set at the state level and change between cycles, so the authoritative source is your own election office rather than any national site. The federal directory at vote.gov links to every state's registration system, and your county election office publishes the sample ballot that includes local contests.

The ballot section above covers the federal and statewide offices on the Florida ballot for November 3, 2026. Each statewide race links to a page with current coverage and an AI-generated simulation of the contest, always labeled as a simulation rather than a poll.

Local races

Local councils and commissions, school boards, judges, sheriffs and municipal offices are also on many Florida ballots, and they vary block by block. Your county election office publishes the authoritative local sample ballot.

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Florida's weight in Washington

Florida carries 30 electoral votes, which ranks it 3 of 51 by that measure, and sends 28 voting members to the House.

That arithmetic is why the same national argument lands differently here than in a state of another size: a candidate courting Florida is competing for a specific share of the map, and the issues below are the ones that share actually turns on.

How Florida is represented

Florida is divided into 28 House districts, each drawn to hold roughly the same number of people, while its two Senate seats represent the state as a whole. A campaign here therefore runs two different arguments at once: a local one shaped by whichever district a voter lives in, and a statewide one that has to hold together across all 28.

Electoral votes follow the same arithmetic, House seats plus two, which is why Florida carries 30 in a presidential year and why small states carry proportionally more weight there than population alone would give them. The district list above shows every district on the 2026 ballot and the counties the boundary files place inside each one.

Issues that weigh heavily in Florida

Based on the state's industry mix, geography and cost of living, these issues tend to carry structural weight in Florida elections:

Latest Florida political headlines

Poll: Byron Donalds 44%, David Jolly 43% in dead-heat race for Florida GovernorFlorida Politics · 17 Sep 2026Poll: Republicans Hold Double-Digit Leads in Florida Governor, U.S. Senate RacesStetson University · 24 Sep 2026Florida Governor's race enters final stretchFOX 13 Tampa Bay · 24 Sep 2026Florida governor’s race: Fact-checking Byron Donalds, David Jolly at WLRN’s Sunshine Economy SummitWLRN · 23 Sep 2026Decision Desk calls the Governor's race a toss-up. Kalshi traders have Byron Donalds at 77%Florida Politics · 25 Sep 2026Byron Donalds scrubs most Trump references from new campaign site for Florida governor’s raceNBC News · 22 Sep 2026Poll: Ashley Moody 45%, Angie Nixon 45%, and Florida now has two toss-ups at the top of the ticketFlorida Politics · 17 Sep 2026Florida housing market levels off in August| Florida Realtors · 16 Sep 2026

Simulate Florida

In the Electorate HQ simulator, Florida is one of 51 delegations that reads current reporting and decides a presidential race issue by issue. Results are AI simulations, clearly labeled, with the reasoning shown for every call. See the methodology for what that does and does not mean.

Analysis covering Florida

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