Florida US Senate (special) 2026
Election day is November 3, 2026. A special election to fill a vacant Florida Senate seat.
Who is favoured in Florida US Senate (special)?
Run the forecaster to pull current reporting on this race, score it issue by issue, and see who it favours.
What the Florida US Senate (special) election decides
The Senate confirms federal judges and cabinet officers, ratifies treaties, and can stop legislation the House passes. With a six-year term and a hundred-member chamber, a single seat is a larger share of the institution than any House district, which is why Senate races draw national money into state contests.
Each state sends two senators regardless of population, so this seat carries the same weight as California's or Wyoming's. Florida voters fill it alongside all 28 of the state's House seats and the governorship, and a Senate term runs six years, spanning two future Congresses and, in this case, the next presidential election. Because this is a special election, the winner serves only the remainder of the unexpired term.
How Florida votes
Florida's electorate is enormous and layered: retirees, a diverse Latino population with distinct Cuban and Puerto Rican communities, growth-belt suburbs and a conservative north. Insurance costs, hurricanes and growth management now share the stage with its long-running tax debates. That backdrop is the ground any Florida campaign fights on, and it is what the Electorate HQ simulation reads first when it weighs a ticket's platform against this contest.
About this race
The 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida was held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Republican appointee Ashley Moody defeated Democratic state representative Angie Nixon. She will complete the term won in 2022 by Marco Rubio, who resigned in 2025 to become secretary of state.
In the primary elections on August 18, Moody won the Republican nomination against minimal opposition. Alex Vindman, the former director of European Affairs for the National Security Council, was considered the Democratic frontrunner and held a significant fundraising advantage during the primary, but Nixon won the nomination with 56.1% of the vote in a major upset.
Moody defeated Nixon by a closer-than-expected margin, winning by 2.9% compared with polling averages that had projected her to win by 6.1%. Nixon has expressed interest in running again for this seat in 2028.
Latest coverage of the Florida US Senate (special) race
Florida 2026 Election ResultsSen. Ashley Moody defeats Angie Nixon in Florida Senate raceTop Alaska Senate Candidates Advance as Angie Nixon Wins in FloridaMoody vs. Nixon | Guide to Florida's U.S. Senate special electionCould a far left candidate win a midterm race in a red state like Florida?Live Results: Ashley Moody wins reelection to Senate in FloridaAngie Nixon, Democrats’ pick for Senate in Florida, resolves case over Capitol protestFlorida U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest PollsThe rest of the Florida ballot
Every Florida House district, the counties inside each one, and an address lookup that resolves your exact districts are on the Florida state page.
Other 2026 races in Florida
Analysis covering Florida
How the county lists on this site are computed, and where the method breaks
A methods note. Two public boundary files, one point-in-polygon test, 436 districts, and five cases where it returns nothing.
Twenty-six states elect a senator and a governor on the same day in 2026
The overlap between the Senate class and the gubernatorial cohort is a coincidence of two unrelated calendars, and it decides where money goes.