Arizona elections in 2026
11 electoral votes · 9 House seats · Southwest · 1 statewide race on the 2026 ballot
The political landscape
Arizona has become one of the country's most closely fought states, driven by fast growth in metro Phoenix, a large Latino electorate, retiree communities, and water and border issues that sit atop most statewide campaigns.
Its largest population centers include Phoenix, Tucson, Mesa, Flagstaff. Where a state's people live, and what those places do for a living, is the starting point for how Electorate HQ simulations reason about it.
On the ballot in Arizona
Issues that weigh heavily in Arizona
Based on the state's industry mix, geography and cost of living, these issues tend to carry structural weight in Arizona elections:
Latest Arizona political headlines
A Democratic Governor Is Set to Pick a Former Republican Running MateDemocratic Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs chooses former Republican Mayor John Giles as her running mateKatie Hobbs taps former Republican mayor as running mateTarget Race Launch: DLCC Announces Another Slate of Targets in ArizonaDemocrats target two more Arizona races to bid to end GOP’s 60-year grip on the legislatureKatie Hobbs’ reported running mate John Giles dropped GOP registration months before pickAthena Salman: Defending abortion rights after Proposition 139Arizona's new school food law: Cupcakes out, clean labels inSimulate Arizona
In the Electorate HQ simulator, Arizona is one of 51 delegations that reads current reporting and decides a presidential race issue by issue. Results are AI simulations, clearly labeled, with the reasoning shown for every call. See the methodology for what that does and does not mean.