Texas elections in 2026

40 electoral votes · 38 House seats · South · 2 statewide races on the 2026 ballot

Simulationas of 27 Sep 2026

Simulated statewide share: D 44.5 to R 54.0, Republican side ahead.

Texas US Senate: D 47.0 to R 53.0, tossup Republican, well sourced. Texas Senate race tightens as Paxton faces scrutiny

Texas Governor: D 42.0 to R 55.0, safe Republican, well sourced. Abbott heavily favored in bid for historic fourth term

House delegation as simulated: 9 D, 27 R, 2 tossups of 38 districts swept.

Model readings of live reporting, not polling. The full Texas board, with sourcing and the county map where one exists, is on the Midterms 2026 tab of the homepage.

How Texas votes

Texas is the largest Republican-led state, with booming and diversifying metros set against a vast conservative rural base. Energy, the border and the grid define its statewide races, which have tightened without yet flipping.

Its largest population centers include Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, San Antonio, Austin, El Paso. Where a state's people live, and what those places do for a living, is the starting point for how Electorate HQ simulations reason about it.

On the ballot in Texas

Election day is November 3, 2026. Texas has 2 statewide races and 38 House seats on the ballot.

Statewide races

Texas Senate electionTexas governor's race

House districts

Every House seat is elected every two years. Each district below is listed with the counties inside it, computed from the current Census boundary files, wherever those files give a clean answer. Not sure which district is yours? Use the address lookup below.

Find your exact districts

Your address goes to the U.S. Census Bureau's public geocoder to find your districts. It is not stored, and no AI sees it.

Which district am I in? Texas districts by county

House districts follow population, not county lines, so a single county can hold several districts and a single district can span many. Each county is listed under the district that holds its center, so if your county appears once above, that district holds most of it and is probably yours. If it appears under several, or if you live near a district line, use the address lookup for the exact answer.

Before you vote in Texas

Registration deadlines, early voting windows, mail ballot rules and identification requirements are all set at the state level and change between cycles, so the authoritative source is your own election office rather than any national site. The federal directory at vote.gov links to every state's registration system, and your county election office publishes the sample ballot that includes local contests.

The ballot section above covers the federal and statewide offices on the Texas ballot for November 3, 2026. Each statewide race links to a page with current coverage and an AI-generated simulation of the contest, always labeled as a simulation rather than a poll.

Local races

Local councils and commissions, school boards, judges, sheriffs and municipal offices are also on many Texas ballots, and they vary block by block. Your county election office publishes the authoritative local sample ballot.

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Texas's weight in Washington

Texas carries 40 electoral votes, which ranks it 2 of 51 by that measure, and sends 38 voting members to the House.

That arithmetic is why the same national argument lands differently here than in a state of another size: a candidate courting Texas is competing for a specific share of the map, and the issues below are the ones that share actually turns on.

How Texas is represented

Texas is divided into 38 House districts, each drawn to hold roughly the same number of people, while its two Senate seats represent the state as a whole. A campaign here therefore runs two different arguments at once: a local one shaped by whichever district a voter lives in, and a statewide one that has to hold together across all 38.

Electoral votes follow the same arithmetic, House seats plus two, which is why Texas carries 40 in a presidential year and why small states carry proportionally more weight there than population alone would give them. The district list above shows every district on the 2026 ballot and the counties the boundary files place inside each one.

Issues that weigh heavily in Texas

Based on the state's industry mix, geography and cost of living, these issues tend to carry structural weight in Texas elections:

The EconomyImmigrationEducationEnergy and the Environment

Latest Texas political headlines

Tarrant County’s now-blue Texas Senate seat returns for rematch election in NovemberFort Worth Report · 23 Sep 2026Texas governor race swings to Hinojosa in latest pollFOX 7 Austin · 18 Sep 2026Error means unknown number of Texas voter registrations haven’t been processed yetVotebeat · 22 Sep 2026Texas turning blue may hinge on Democrats harnessing data center oppositionCNBC · 23 Sep 2026Angela Paxton tells group of Texas women to vote GOP ‘even if we’re mad at them’Houston Public Media · 23 Sep 2026“Uncharted territory”: Two months from Election Day, Democrats in Texas are truly competitiveThe Texas Tribune · 17 Sep 2026Texas Election 2026: Key Races and Historical Presidential Election ResultsNBC News · 27 Sep 2026Amazon and Wiwynn expand Texas manufacturing facility, creating nearly 1,000 jobsAbout Amazon · 09 Sep 2026

Simulate Texas

In the Electorate HQ simulator, Texas is one of 51 delegations that reads current reporting and decides a presidential race issue by issue. Results are AI simulations, clearly labeled, with the reasoning shown for every call. See the methodology for what that does and does not mean.

Analysis covering Texas

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