Pennsylvania elections in 2026
19 electoral votes · 17 House seats · Mid-Atlantic · 1 statewide race on the 2026 ballot
Pennsylvania Governor: D 54.0 to R 43.0, likely Democratic, well sourced. Shapiro maintains wide lead over Garrity in Pennsylvania gubernatorial contest
House delegation as simulated: 8 D, 8 R, 1 tossup of 17 districts swept.
Model readings of live reporting, not polling. The full Pennsylvania board, with sourcing and the county map where one exists, is on the Midterms 2026 tab of the homepage.
How Pennsylvania votes
Pennsylvania is a cornerstone battleground: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh against a large rural interior, with energy from the Marcellus Shale and manufacturing wages as recurring themes. Statewide margins are habitually narrow.
Its largest population centers include Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Allentown, Erie. Where a state's people live, and what those places do for a living, is the starting point for how Electorate HQ simulations reason about it.
On the ballot in Pennsylvania
Election day is November 3, 2026. Pennsylvania has 1 statewide race and 17 House seats on the ballot.
Statewide races
House districts
Every House seat is elected every two years. Each district below is listed with the counties inside it, computed from the current Census boundary files, wherever those files give a clean answer. Not sure which district is yours? Use the address lookup below.
- Pennsylvania 1st district: Bucks County
- Pennsylvania 2nd district: Philadelphia County
- Pennsylvania 3rd district: entirely within Philadelphia County
- Pennsylvania 4th district: Berks, Montgomery Counties
- Pennsylvania 5th district: Delaware County
- Pennsylvania 6th district: Chester County
- Pennsylvania 7th district: Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton Counties
- Pennsylvania 8th district: Lackawanna, Luzerne, Monroe, Pike, Wayne Counties
- Pennsylvania 9th district: Bradford, Columbia, Lebanon, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Sullivan, Susquehanna and 1 more counties (9 in all)
- Pennsylvania 10th district: Cumberland, Dauphin Counties
- Pennsylvania 11th district: Lancaster, York Counties
- Pennsylvania 12th district: entirely within Allegheny County
- Pennsylvania 13th district: Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata and 2 more counties (10 in all)
- Pennsylvania 14th district: Fayette, Greene, Indiana, Somerset, Washington, Westmoreland Counties
- Pennsylvania 15th district: Armstrong, Cameron, Centre, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Elk, Forest and 9 more counties (17 in all)
- Pennsylvania 16th district: Butler, Crawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer Counties
- Pennsylvania 17th district: Allegheny, Beaver Counties
Find your exact districts
Your address goes to the U.S. Census Bureau's public geocoder to find your districts. It is not stored, and no AI sees it.
Which district am I in? Pennsylvania districts by county
House districts follow population, not county lines, so a single county can hold several districts and a single district can span many. Each county is listed under the district that holds its center, so if your county appears once above, that district holds most of it and is probably yours. If it appears under several, or if you live near a district line, use the address lookup for the exact answer.
Before you vote in Pennsylvania
Registration deadlines, early voting windows, mail ballot rules and identification requirements are all set at the state level and change between cycles, so the authoritative source is your own election office rather than any national site. The federal directory at vote.gov links to every state's registration system, and your county election office publishes the sample ballot that includes local contests.
The ballot section above covers the federal and statewide offices on the Pennsylvania ballot for November 3, 2026. Each statewide race links to a page with current coverage and an AI-generated simulation of the contest, always labeled as a simulation rather than a poll.
Local races
Local councils and commissions, school boards, judges, sheriffs and municipal offices are also on many Pennsylvania ballots, and they vary block by block. Your county election office publishes the authoritative local sample ballot.
Pennsylvania's weight in Washington
Pennsylvania carries 19 electoral votes, which ranks it 6 of 51 by that measure, and sends 17 voting members to the House.
That arithmetic is why the same national argument lands differently here than in a state of another size: a candidate courting Pennsylvania is competing for a specific share of the map, and the issues below are the ones that share actually turns on.
How Pennsylvania is represented
Pennsylvania is divided into 17 House districts, each drawn to hold roughly the same number of people, while its two Senate seats represent the state as a whole. A campaign here therefore runs two different arguments at once: a local one shaped by whichever district a voter lives in, and a statewide one that has to hold together across all 17.
Electoral votes follow the same arithmetic, House seats plus two, which is why Pennsylvania carries 19 in a presidential year and why small states carry proportionally more weight there than population alone would give them. The district list above shows every district on the 2026 ballot and the counties the boundary files place inside each one.
Issues that weigh heavily in Pennsylvania
Based on the state's industry mix, geography and cost of living, these issues tend to carry structural weight in Pennsylvania elections:
Latest Pennsylvania political headlines
Pa. election 2026: Your complete guide to the candidates for governorVoting in Pa. for the first time? Here’s what young voters need to knowPennsylvania polls show Democrats leading as midterm election nearsOffice of Public Affairs | Four Aliens Charged With Election FraudIt’s almost Election Day in Pennsylvania. Here’s how to vote.Pennsylvania Governor’s Race: Josh Shapiro leads Stacy Garrity by 20 points in new pollWhat to know about voting in Pennsylvania’s midterm election on Nov. 3Pennsylvania Housing Action PlanSimulate Pennsylvania
In the Electorate HQ simulator, Pennsylvania is one of 51 delegations that reads current reporting and decides a presidential race issue by issue. Results are AI simulations, clearly labeled, with the reasoning shown for every call. See the methodology for what that does and does not mean.
Analysis covering Pennsylvania
Twenty-six states elect a senator and a governor on the same day in 2026
The overlap between the Senate class and the gubernatorial cohort is a coincidence of two unrelated calendars, and it decides where money goes.
Election night is reported in 3,142 counties and decided in 435 districts
The unit America counts votes in and the unit America allocates House seats in are different shapes, and they do not nest inside each other.
Why this site runs simulations and refuses to call them forecasts
A simulation with no polling input cannot be a forecast, and dressing one up as the other is the most common way election tools mislead people.