Arizona elections in 2026

Arizona Governor: D 53.0 to R 42.0, likely Democratic, well sourced. Hobbs Builds Double-Digit Lead Over Biggs in Arizona Governor Race

House delegation as simulated: 3 D, 5 R, 1 tossup of 9 districts swept.

Model readings of live reporting, not polling. The full Arizona board, with sourcing and the county map where one exists, is on the Midterms 2026 tab of the homepage.

How Arizona votes

Arizona has become one of the country's most closely fought states, driven by fast growth in metro Phoenix, a large Latino electorate, retiree communities, and water and border issues that sit atop most statewide campaigns.

Its largest population centers include Phoenix, Tucson, Mesa, Flagstaff. Where a state's people live, and what those places do for a living, is the starting point for how Electorate HQ simulations reason about it.

On the ballot in Arizona

Election day is November 3, 2026. Arizona has 1 statewide race and 9 House seats on the ballot.

Statewide races

House districts

Every House seat is elected every two years. Each district below is listed with the counties inside it, computed from the current Census boundary files, wherever those files give a clean answer. Not sure which district is yours? Use the address lookup below.

• Arizona 1st district: entirely within Maricopa County
• Arizona 2nd district: Apache, Coconino, Gila, Mohave, Navajo, Pinal, Yavapai Counties
• Arizona 3rd district: entirely within Maricopa County
• Arizona 4th district: entirely within Maricopa County
• Arizona 5th district: entirely within Maricopa County
• Arizona 6th district: Cochise, Graham, Greenlee Counties
• Arizona 7th district: Pima, Santa Cruz Counties
• Arizona 8th district: entirely within Maricopa County
• Arizona 9th district: La Paz, Maricopa, Yuma Counties

Find your exact districts

Which district am I in? Arizona districts by county

House districts follow population, not county lines, so a single county can hold several districts and a single district can span many. Each county is listed under the district that holds its center, so if your county appears once above, that district holds most of it and is probably yours. If it appears under several, or if you live near a district line, use the address lookup for the exact answer.

Before you vote in Arizona

Registration deadlines, early voting windows, mail ballot rules and identification requirements are all set at the state level and change between cycles, so the authoritative source is your own election office rather than any national site. The federal directory at vote.gov links to every state's registration system, and your county election office publishes the sample ballot that includes local contests.

The ballot section above covers the federal and statewide offices on the Arizona ballot for November 3, 2026. Each statewide race links to a page with current coverage and an AI-generated simulation of the contest, always labeled as a simulation rather than a poll.

Local races

Local councils and commissions, school boards, judges, sheriffs and municipal offices are also on many Arizona ballots, and they vary block by block. Your county election office publishes the authoritative local sample ballot.

Arizona's weight in Washington

Arizona carries 11 electoral votes, which ranks it 14 of 51 by that measure, and sends 9 voting members to the House.

That arithmetic is why the same national argument lands differently here than in a state of another size: a candidate courting Arizona is competing for a specific share of the map, and the issues below are the ones that share actually turns on.

How Arizona is represented

Arizona is divided into 9 House districts, each drawn to hold roughly the same number of people, while its two Senate seats represent the state as a whole. A campaign here therefore runs two different arguments at once: a local one shaped by whichever district a voter lives in, and a statewide one that has to hold together across all 9.

Electoral votes follow the same arithmetic, House seats plus two, which is why Arizona carries 11 in a presidential year and why small states carry proportionally more weight there than population alone would give them. The district list above shows every district on the 2026 ballot and the counties the boundary files place inside each one.

Issues that weigh heavily in Arizona

Based on the state's industry mix, geography and cost of living, these issues tend to carry structural weight in Arizona elections:

Latest Arizona political headlines

Simulate Arizona

In the Electorate HQ simulator, Arizona is one of 51 delegations that reads current reporting and decides a presidential race issue by issue. Results are AI simulations, clearly labeled, with the reasoning shown for every call. See the methodology for what that does and does not mean.

Analysis covering Arizona

• Ten whole congressional districts fit inside Los Angeles County

  Seventy-nine of the 435 districts sit entirely within a single county. Ten of them are in one county in California.

• One seat covers 34 square kilometres. One seat covers 1,713,379.

  New York's 12th and Alaska's at-large seat each elect one member of the House. On the ground, one is fifty thousand times the size of the other.

• Twenty-six states elect a senator and a governor on the same day in 2026

  The overlap between the Senate class and the gubernatorial cohort is a coincidence of two unrelated calendars, and it decides where money goes.